Dalian Plastic Products Export Market Analysis in 2014
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First, the main characteristics of the export of plastic products in Dalian Customs District in the first 11 months of this year (A) The export volume continued to increase in November, and the average export price fell slightly. In the month of November 2014, Dalian Customs exported 10,000 tons of plastic products, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and an increase of 3.6% from the previous period; the average export price was RMB 17,000 per ton, which was a decrease of 7.4% year-on-year and a 2.8% increase from the previous quarter.
The analysis of Dalian plastic products export market in 2014 (II) was mainly exported through processing trade and general trade. In the first 11 months of 2014, the Dalian Customs District exported 48,000 tons of plastic products by processing trade, a decrease of 1%; general trade exports 43,000 tons, an increase of 14.7%, which together accounted for the total export volume of plastic products in Dalian Customs during the same period. 86.7%.
(3) Foreign-invested enterprises and private enterprises mainly export. In the first 11 months of 2014, foreign-invested enterprises in Dalian Customs exported 54,000 tons of plastic products, a decrease of 4.3%; and private enterprises exported 50,000 tons, an increase of 25.9%, which together accounted for the total export volume of plastic products in Dalian Customs during the same period. 98.9%.
(D) Japan and the United States as the main export market. In the first 11 months of 2014, the Dalian Customs District exported 36,000 tons of plastic products to Japan, an increase of 2%, and exported 20,000 tons to the United States, a decrease of 0.8%. The above two accounts for 53.4 of the total exports of plastic products in Dalian Customs during the same period. %.
2. The main reasons for the increase in the export volume of plastic products in Dalian customs area during the first 11 months of 2014 (I) The development of the domestic industry and the adequacy of supply are the solid basis for export growth. The output of plastic products in China is always at the front rank in the world rankings. Among them, the output of various plastic products has been ranked first in the world. For example, the production and sales volume of polyurethane products account for more than 40% of the world's total output. The scale of production and consumption ranks first in the world, and China has become the world Plastic products manufacturing countries.
According to statistics from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, there are currently 95,000 plastics companies in the country, and actual figures may exceed 100,000. China's plastics industry has a strong upward momentum and continues to maintain a growth rate of about 7%. In October of this year, the output of China's plastic products was 6.628 million tons, an increase of 6.3% year-on-year, and the output of plastic products in the first 10 months was 59.949 million tons, an increase of 7.8%.
(b) The continuous expansion of applications supports the steady increase in exports of plastic products. With the continuous emergence of new materials, new equipment, and new technologies, plastic products are moving in the direction of diversification, specialization, and multi-functionalization, and the fields of application continue to expand. The demand for daily necessities, automobiles, packaging, medical care, and electronic home appliances is growing. Rapid growth.
It is predicted that the global plastic consumption in 2016 is expected to exceed 500 million tons. In the field of plastic product terminals, electronic consumer goods are expected to become the fastest growing market for plastics, and their annual growth rate will reach 9%. In terms of medical equipment, the global demand for medical polymer materials will continue to increase at an annual growth rate of 5.6% during the period 2012-2018. In terms of automotive plastics, global automotive plastics consumption will maintain an annual growth rate of 13.4% over the next five years, and the market value will surge from US$21.617 billion in 2012 to US$461.112 billion in 2018.
Third, the current impact of plastic products exports (a) the plastics industry to face increased pressure from neighboring countries. With the continuous increase in the cost of domestic labor, the traditional industry advantages established by China's low labor prices over a long period of time are losing gradually compared with countries such as Vietnam and India. The Vietnam Economic Times reported that the Vietnam Plastics Association (VPA) stated that in the first three quarters of this year, Vietnam exported nearly 2 billion U.S. dollars worth of plastic products, which represented a year-on-year increase of 17.9%. It is estimated that the export value of this product will reach 2.6 billion U.S. dollars in 2014, an increase of 16.5%. . At present, Vietnam’s largest export market for plastic products is Japan. In the first three quarters, Vietnam’s exports to Japan accounted for 24.8% of the total exports of plastic products, a year-on-year increase of 25.2%; followed by the United States, exports accounted for 12.7%, an increase of 38.7%.
(2) The low industrial concentration and the homogenization of products restrict the healthy development of the plastics industry. At present, the overall performance of China's plastics industry is that industrial concentration is low, productivity is decentralized, and professional production is low, and the ratio of deep processing is low. The problem of too low concentration of plastics companies is the main reason for the excessive production of similar plastic products in China, the overproduction of low-end products, and fierce competition, leading to the overall low-profit operation of the industry. At present, China's plastic varieties are mainly based on PP and PE.
Ordinary materials account for a large proportion of products. China's plastics industry generally implements extensive management and forms a situation in which plants are fighting, townships are fighting, and products are larger. This has led to overheated investment in basic equipment of local companies and an irrational increase in the production of low-value products. At present, the domestic plastics industry is still at a low-level development stage. The quality and added value of products are generally not high, and only meet the general consumption needs of foreign countries. In addition, the level of technological development in the domestic plastics industry is generally not high, and there is still a large gap between the level of scientific and technological innovation and technological research and foreign advanced level. Changing the development model has become a key issue for the plastics industry.
(3) Product quality standards increasingly restrict the export of plastic products. As the EU meeting in June passed the amendment to the "Packaging and Packaging Waste Directive", China's exports of plastic bags to the EU will be more stringent. The Amendment to the “Packaging and Packaging Waste Directive†puts forward more stringent regulations on the packaging and use of products. The amendment requires the member states of the European Union to use the 2010 data as a benchmark to reduce the portable type by 50% by 2017. Plastic bags (plastic bags with a thickness of 10 micrometers to 49 micrometers) reduce the weight of portable plastic bags by 80% before 2019. In addition, it is specifically required that plastic bags used to wrap foods such as fruits, vegetables and confectionery be replaced by paper bags or degradable bags by 2019. China's export of plastic bags to the European Union will be more stringent, focusing on environmental protection is the only way out. China's plastic products industry is dominated by high energy consumption and low added value. The introduction of this policy is a severe test for China's small and medium-sized enterprises manufacturing plastic products.