2014 LED equipment investment shows a new trend
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The LED industry is emerging from overcapacity and will restart equipment investment and expand capacity in 2014. According to the quarterly forecast report of the International Semiconductor Equipment and Materials Organization (SEMI), investment in LED wafer manufacturing equipment will rise by 17 to $1.2 billion next year after a continuous decline. Equipment investment will also present a new trend: the main force of equipment investment in the LED industry will be industry leaders and survivors, not new players.
The benefits of LED TV, the optimistic attitude towards the long-term growth of solid-state lighting, and the rapid expansion of LED production capacity in the world in the past three years have led to a surge in interest in LEDs worldwide. LED's world production capacity increased by 49 in 2011, and increased by 39 in 2012. In 2013, it continued to rise. 19. China's LED manufacturing growth is also more prominent, from the monthly capacity of 1 million wafers in 2010 to 2013. 6.2 million wafers per year.
In 2010 and 2011, most of the capacity expansion was due to manufacturers' over-optimistic forecasts for the future. The LED market will grow to $20 billion by 2015. Currently, the forecast for the LED packaging market is: after 2015, around $15 billion, the compound annual growth rate is lower than 5. The main reason for the downward revision is that LEDs are becoming more efficient in use (such as improving the light in the display). Conduit), LED package is more efficient, and the transition to the LED lighting market is slower. According to US market research firm StrategiesUnlimited, the average cost per thousand lumens has dropped from $13 in 2011 to less than $3.65 today. The number of LEDs used in television has dropped by a third, and many SSL fixtures use nearly half less LEDs than in previous years. The number of LEDs used in mobile devices and laptops has also declined. The car is still a growing market, but the car's share of the entire LED market is only 10.
With so many new capacity and new businesses, as well as falling growth rates, the price of LED packages has fallen sharply in recent years, causing serious financial difficulties for many companies, especially newly established companies. The capacity utilization rate of the plant has declined globally, especially in China. Sales of MOCVD systems, the key production equipment for LED epitaxial wafers, plummeted. Leading MOCVD companies, such as Veeco and Aixtron, have tripled their sales in 2010, but in 2012 their revenues plummeted by nearly the same amount.