The three major highlights of this year's bus school new energy sales can be expected
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On March 28th, the Nanjing Bus Show on the second day after the start of the show, faded away from the hustle and bustle of the first day, and the stadium was deserted. To take this opportunity, reporters can sit down and chat with the person in charge of the bus company about this year's bus market.
As a rapid development in recent years, sales of large and medium-sized passengers have entered the first echelon of the Zhongtong Bus and have been accurately grasping the direction of the market. For the bus market in 2013, how does Zhongtong Bus determine? What are the characteristics of the bus market in 2013 and what are the highlights? To this end, the reporter interviewed Li Tongsheng, Minister of Culture and Sports of Zhongtong Bus.
The bus market will become the biggest highlight of this year
“The bus market should be the biggest bright spot for the passenger car market this year.†Li Shengsheng said that since the end of last year, the national policy on public transport priority has been further emphasized. The management of public transport from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development to the Ministry of Transport is more conducive to the development of public transportation and the expansion of the bus market. "This year's bus market demand will be greater than in previous years."
It is understood that the executive meeting of the State Council made it clear on October 10, 2012 that priority should be given to the development of urban public transport and strengthening its planning and control. Subsequently, in early 2013, local governments also began to deploy priority to the development of public transport. For example, Xi’an proposes to increase the utilization rate of public transportation lines and strengthen the public bicycle connection system in the urban areas; Hangzhou Municipality will ensure that public transport will take precedence, and will set up signs and signal devices for priority bus access.
The heavy news of the "Near 7 billion bus purchases in 7 cities" and "3155 LNG buses will be purchased in Beijing this year" revealed at the Nanjing Bus Show this year further confirms Li Bosheng's "increased demand for the bus market this year." "The judgment.
In addition, Li Shengsheng also told reporters that in previous years, bus companies often encountered zero down payment, installments and other unreasonable payment of bus orders. However, in recent years, due to the government's increasing support for the public transport system, the management mechanism of the bus company has been transformed, the strength has been strengthened, and the payment method for bus procurement has gradually been rationalized. Bus has also become the “sweet spot†in the eyes of bus companies. "Public bus priority policies have stimulated a further increase in the capacity of the bus market. Coupled with the improvement in payment methods, this is a very good opportunity for bus companies."
School bus market can grow by 20-25%
At last year's Beijing Bus Show, Li Shusheng predicted that the market capacity of the school bus in 2012 was about 20,000, and the accuracy of its forecast was confirmed at the end of last year. So, how does he look at the school bus market this year?
As the details of state subsidies for school buses have not been introduced, many people in the industry at the beginning of this year judged that the school bus market this year was extremely optimistic and even the market capacity would be lower than last year. However, Li Shengsheng does not think so: "School buses are still a hot spot in the passenger car market this year. This year's school bus market should grow by 20-25% over last year."
To make this judgment, Li Shengsheng has two reasons: First, although no school bus subsidy policy has been introduced at the national level, many localities have already issued details for local school bus subsidy; secondly, after the change of government, people pay more attention to people's livelihood and develop school buses. It is a means to ensure that students go to school more safely. "This year's school bus market will enter a more favorable space for development," said Li Shengsheng.
For many problems that have been exposed in many places in 2012, the industry believes that the school bus operation is difficult, or it may lead to a new beginning of school bus industry in the country. In this regard, Li Shengsheng said that there are already many samples of successful school bus operations in China that can be used for reference by other regions. “Such school bus operations in Hebei Handan, Zhejiang Deqing, and Qingdao in Shandong have been very successful.â€
In the first quarter of the sluggish school bus market, Zhongtong Bus had booked more than 700 school buses in the first quarter. In light of the overall situation this year, Li Yusheng frankly stated that “This year, the number of school buses sold by Zhongtong Communications must reach 3,000 or more, it should be a small problem.†This target, compared with 2012, will increase sales of 2410 school buses by 25%.
In addition, Li Shengsheng also analyzed some characteristics of the school bus market in 2012: “The current school bus market is mainly concentrated in the suburbs of second- and third-tier cities. Kindergarten school buses are mainly based on private school procurement, and they are completely self-purchasing; primary and secondary schools The purchasers, mainly the operating companies of local school buses, can get a portion of local government subsidies for the purchase of school buses."
New energy bus is still hot in the market within three years
Apart from buses and school buses, what are the hot spots in this year's bus market? “New energy buses are still hot spots this year in the bus market and will continue.†Li Shengsheng judged.
According to Li Shengsheng, in the first quarter, the order of hybrid buses for Zhongtong Bus was close to 500, while the sales volume of Zhongtong Hybrid Bus in 2012 was less than 800. Coincidentally, at the Nanjing Bus Show, the reporter was also informed that the sales target of 600 Jinlong New Energy Bus in 2013 had already been completed in advance in the first quarter.
Why would it create a small blow in the new energy market at the beginning of the year? Li Xiaosheng analyzed that this was due to the impact of the nation’s promotion of a 3000-5000 hybrid bus policy last year. The expansion of hybrid buses has expanded from 25 cities in the “Ten Cities†to all cities in the country.
In addition, Li Shengsheng judged that the subsidies for new energy vehicles will continue to extend for three years. The new energy buses will be a hot spot in the passenger car market in the next three years.
At the Nanjing Bus Show, 25 bus companies exhibited exhibited 16 new energy buses. Among them, 7 gas-electric hybrid buses have greatly exceeded the number of hybrid buses, which also shows a new trend for new energy buses. “Since the second half of last year, orders for gas-electric hybrid buses began to increase and became more apparent by the beginning of this year.†Li Xiaosheng analyzed that due to the lower natural gas prices, the operating costs of gas-electric hybrid buses are lower than that of hybrid buses. Lower, so gas-electric hybrid buses continue to be favored by the market.
"Three years later, once the subsidy for new energy vehicles is over, will the bustling new energy bus industry end now?" For reporters' questions, Li Yusheng said that if he enjoys the subsidy policy within three years, he will increase the pace of demonstration operations. The cost of key components and parts such as motors and batteries for hybrid buses is reduced, and there is no problem in realizing the industrialization of hybrid buses. "But three years later, the promotion of a full transition from a hybrid bus to a purely electric bus has not been achieved."
At the end of the interview, Li Shengsheng also revealed to reporters that Zhongtong Bus will achieve mass sales of pure electric buses this year. “Actually, the company started research and development of pure electric buses long ago, but according to the current situation, it is more suitable for the promotion of hybrid buses.â€
For the new energy market, the target of Zhongtong Bus is set at more than 1,000 this year. “At present, nearly 500 orders have been completed and the thousands of targets should be easily realized.†Talking about the new energy bus target this year, Li Xiaosheng said with a smile.
Throughout the interview, the reporter felt that the employees in the Zhongtong Bus were full of confidence in the market this year. In 2013, can Zhongtong Bus continue its good growth in 2012? Worth looking forward.